The
Chapter 12 b
Aden Kamali
waved his guests into seats around his office.
“What brings you travelers here?”
“And you do not mean a number
the planet cannot feed.”
“No, it would be a much lower
number. Something genetic would be at
work. And they said you were the best
population geneticist around. We hope we
don’t take too much of your time.”
“Perhaps I was a good
population geneticist here. But no longer. I must
go away. My visa has problems, probably
some clerical error.”
“I’m sorry,” said
“I, too. But the result
is that I have nothing but time right now.
I shall have some help packing soon.
Meanwhile I am only too glad to talk about genetics. Soon my opportunities to do so will be much
reduced.”
“Is there any genetic reason
to think that our friend’s idea might be correct?” asked
“None
whatever. Nobody believes that there is such an effect
as you speak of. The bigger the mating pool the better. It
provides greater genetic diversity and results in a healthier, a more resilient
population.”
“Well what is the cause of
hybrid sterility?”
“That is a matter of
crossings between species. Here we speak
of a single species.”
“But what is the actual
cause? What makes hybrid infertility
occur?”
“It is mere
happenstance. As the genetic distance
between two populations gets bigger and bigger, sooner or later their genes are
unable to talk to each other. The result
is that development of the embryo is stunted.
It is incomplete. Generally the
male takes more steps to develop than the female, so in mammals it is the male that
is first affected. We call it
“Doesn’t evolution produce
it?”
“No,
“How many
generations?”
“Well camels were
domesticated in historical times in
“Nobody was counting
generations, but a generation for a camel is now about ten years. The time since domestication may be about
seven thousand years. So call it seven
hundred generations or less for hybrid infertility, for speciation, to have
developed in camels. But for something
else it could be a lot more or many fewer.”
“Any other
examples?”
“Well there is evidence that
rabbits in the
“As for obesity, it’s a bit
easier. Obese people take longer to
starve. So if you acutely starve a
population everybody will be thin but the survivors are the ones who started
out fattest. Feed them again and you
have a fat population. Of course there
are health problems with obesity, so over generations of people being well fed
the tendency toward obesity is reduced.
“It’s all nutrition. Nobody thinks that there is an element of
hybrid vigor, such as you describe with mules.”
“What about sperm counts?”
asked
“The falling sperm count is
often attributed to pollution. But
nobody knows what the pollutant might be, even with a Nobel Prize dangling for
the scientist who figures it out.
“I think the main stream
consensus now would be that it is life style.
Children stay up with electric lights, and that persuades the
hypothalamus, part of the brain, that it’s always summer and that kick starts
sexual growth. And they are exposed to a
lot more sex and violence in your movies, on television and in books and
magazines. The notion that this is bad is
implicit in laws that forbid children from seeing things like certain
movies. If they are exposed to too much
sexual stimulation and shocked by too much horror, the hypothalamus decides
that there are females around to pay court to or there is a war or both. In any case, it calls for a mature male. So sexual maturity starts too soon and is
somewhat incomplete. It isn’t their
genes.”
“Just one more question,”
said
“Well now we’re getting
closer to my field. I will oversimplify
this. Suppose you have a population size
of a thousand. We will look at genes
that are different but have identical effects.
There is a less common gene A, and one hundred people have it. There is another less common gene B and one
hundred people have it. So a random
person has a one in ten chance of having gene A. You look at one hundred with gene A and if
one in ten, that would be ten, also has gene B, then A and B are mixed
throughout the population and your effective population is one thousand. But if everyone with gene A also has gene B,
then it looks like you have two smaller populations, one of one hundred and one
of nine hundred.
“It gets more complicated
because everyone has two copies of most genes.
So you look at how often someone has two copies of A. If everyone with one A also has a second A,
then you are looking at a smaller effective population. There are other variables, but that is the
essence of it.”
“So how big are populations?”
“They tend to run twenty or
thirty thousand. It’s a fairly constant
size.
“If our friend is right, then
if you take villages of one hundred each and mix them for ten generations you
should have an effective population size of about one hundred thousand. It sounds like we are two generations from
extinction,” said
“I don’t think so. Effective population sizes will rise and rise as more groups mix together. We will soon have effective sizes far greater
than one hundred thousand.”
“Maybe, but nobody expects
that. Time will tell, I suppose. But I confidently predict effective
population sizes as large as you like in time.”
“My time is yours. Let me see you to your car.”
On the way
“Which ever
way the holy man says to face.”
“According to the globe, the
shortest way to
“I am sure you could invent a
map that would have you facing any direction at all. If the shortest distance was the point, we
would all pray into holes in the ground, but that is not commonly done.
“No, the point of facing
A moment after they had
pulled away,
Thousands of miles and in a
manner of speaking thousands of years away a man was distracted from his
prayers on a holy mountain by the signal of the satellite downlink in his Land
Rover. He arose and went over and took
the instrument from his driver.
“Father,” came
“If the will of Allah brings
my son back to my arms, it is an easy will to accept.”
“I also just had an
interesting conversation with, if I am correct, a Christian, an African and a
Cossack.”
“A foul, treacherous, blood drinking, child
butchering, village burning, woman raping, wine bibbing, caviar stealing, murder-brained
– the misbegotten son of an ill-favored leprous pig, his fangs drip shit and
his tiny eyes burn red, the smell of his farting kills ibis at three miles, the
curl of his tail makes women abort – upon the unresisting body of a mangy ewe,
dripping pus and staring with wild madness – the augers look on her unclean
visage and predict that fall of nations and the sodomy of kings …(Ali went on
for some time more) … ten thousand fold accursed COSSACK?”
“That’s right.”
“What did he have to say?”
“You know how we often
discuss the fall of the West, that they have no babies. He thinks he knows why and means to stop
it.”
After they disconnected
“Of
course.”
“Make a line through the
pyramids,
There was a pause as the holy
man busied himself at the map. Then,
“Yes it does. In fact it goes right
through your home town of
“Yes. Now do you have a globe?” Over the next several minutes the holy man
inspected his globe, measured with a string and reported what he found. At last
“And upon
thy countenance.”
After he disconnected from
his father,
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